Putin's power wobbles: Experts warn of the threat of falling in the Kremlin!

Putin's power wobbles: Experts warn of the threat of falling in the Kremlin!

Vienna, Österreich - Russia's President Vladimir Putin is considered politically isolated and acutely threatened by experts. Many refer to him as "Dead Man Walking", which indicates a precarious situation. According to western secret services, Putin is under enormous pressure, which is due to the ongoing military losses in Ukraine, growing inner tensions and tightened security measures. His public appearances are severely restricted, and he hardly shows himself outside the Kremlin, driven by the fear of attacks. Rumors about the use of double conversions for such appearances are in circulation, but without evidence.

The Russian attack on Ukraine has so far claimed up to a million dead, wounded or missing, according to estimates of Western secret services. These massive losses have led to growing dissatisfaction among the Russian population, especially in view of the country's economic problems. The reprisals against war opponents and national critics are increasing, while hundreds of thousands of highly qualified Russians have left the country.

military and economic challenges

The war that started trying to take Kiev two years ago has devastating effects on eastern Ukraine, hundreds of lives every day. Despite western sanctions, the Russian economy remains stable, at least for the time being. However, experts believe that the upcoming presidential election, which is scheduled for March 2024, could be crucial for the future of the regime. The opposition is severely weakened after the most prominent opposition candidate, Alexej Nawalny, has died, and many of the institutionalized parties support the government.

Even if Putin gave the possibility of making a constitutional change from 2020, no promising successor has turned out. The repression has increased and the government is fighting to fulfill its promise of stability. The geopolitical landscape shows an increasing fragmentation, which is further reinforced by the international isolation of Russia. The support of North Korea, which includes up to 12,000 soldiers and 15,000 workers, signals the attempt to compensate for military and industrial losses.

economic consequences of the war

The war also has global effects on the economy, including a lot increased energy prices and inflation, which particularly affects Germany. Inflation in Germany has increased the dependence on energy imports from Russia. The international market prices for natural gas have fallen, but these reductions do not reach consumers. In addition, the delivery stop for natural gas in summer leads to a drastic increase in gas prices in Western Europe.

The effects of war on the Russian economy are clearly noticeable. The GDP growth forecast are modest due to economic sanctions and the dependence on western high technology imports. While the Russian government is investing large sums in the military and the armaments industry, the budget situation is increasingly deteriorating. At the same time, Ukraine receives extensive financial support from the West, especially from the USA, and is forced to fight Russian aggression.

Overall, the future remains of Russia, both politically and economically, uncertain. The outcome of the Ukraine War could have a decisive impact on the stability of the Putin regime and beyond the geopolitical structure of the post-Soviet area.

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