Election thriller 2025: Who will be the next chancellor in the German political poker?

Election thriller 2025: Who will be the next chancellor in the German political poker?

An exciting political scenario expects Germany, where the Bundestag election on February 23, 2025 is imminent. Against the background of the dismantling within the traffic light coalition and the loss of the question of trust by Chancellor Olaf Scholz (SPD) on December 16, the preparations and the mood among the population are tense. Previously, the election was scheduled for September 28, 2025, but now the political stage is being adjusted prematurely, as the Süddeutsche Zeitung reported. Over 60 million eligible voters are called for voting, and the preliminary surveys indicate a clear top position of the Union, which strives for over 30 percent of the votes.

The political interest among the voters is exceptional, but the LGBTIQ*community is often not taken into account in traditional surveys. A special online survey carried out by the Justus Liebig University in Gießen in cooperation with the lesbian and gay association LSVD should close this gap. Not only the party preference is queried, but also which political topics are crucial for the LGBTIQ community. The results of this study, which is available online by mid-January 2025, could give essential impulses for future political discussions, such as l-mag . It is all the more important that voters from this group become visible so that their concerns are not ignored.

The surveys also show that the Union has a lead over the SPD, which would currently only achieve just over 15 percent. However, the survey results are affected with uncertainties because they rely on samples of around 1,000 people. The question of who is considered as a future chancellor remains open. While Friedrich Merz from the Union is popular in some groups, young voters and city councilors prefer other candidates such as Olaf Scholz or Robert Habeck. The voters are still disagreed, and above all the increasing polarizing effect of Merz could influence the election decision, which according to the Süddeutsche Zeitung is.