October surprise: warm and wet-does winter really come?

October surprise: warm and wet-does winter really come?

Freudenberg, Deutschland - October gave us a few gold days, but the real weather face has become apparent in the past few weeks: a shocking trend has announced itself! 2024 will not be as sunny as the last 15 years! Instead, we experience an October, which as the seventh wet month of the year in history.

Little sun and lots of rain - that sounds like a cool autumn, doesn't it? Wrongly thought! On cloudy nights, it does not cool down as much as on clear nights. This influenced the temperatures this October, which dances out of row with an average temperature of 12.1 ° C and a deviation of +1.8 ° C . The rainy amount of 66 liters per square meter and the 82 hours of sunshine show that we move towards another very warm year

winter burglaries in November

And what about winter? The question arises! In my Wetter archive there are numerous real winter brims in November. Let us remember November 2011 when we experienced 12 frost days ! Or the snowy 30. November 1985 , as a whopping 12 centimeters of snow fell! And not to forget the ice-cold November 1858 with extreme temperatures of -22 ° C

But what does the coming November bring us? The nights on Sunday, Monday and Tuesday are much fresher. The first frost can be expected in the altitudes of Spessart and Odenwald, while in the lowlands of the Maintal, at least ground frost is possible. The temperatures are gradually falling to a late autumn level, but a real winter slump is currently not in sight in the predictive models. Maybe we'll see a winter miracle for Christmas!