Trump describes Sumy rocket attack as a mistake-Russia's war runs according to Putin's plan
Trump describes Sumy rocket attack as a mistake-Russia's war runs according to Putin's plan
"I was informed that you made a mistake." The US President Donald Trump described the "Herrible" double attack with Sumy in Ukraine on Saturday, in which scattering was allegedly used to maximize the number of victims.
The intentions of the Kremlin
The Iskander missiles used are reported that the use of two of these rockets could indicate a targeted tactic that aims to meet first aiders who rush to help. It is unlikely that the Kremlin will rethink its strategy - this tactic is now widespread. There may be a sympathizer who justifies Russia to the US President.call for diplomacy
The attack was a cruel memory of Moscow's true intentions for the allies of Ukraine: the Ukrainer to force ukrainer to kneel . Sumy is also the focus of Russia, while President Vladimir Putin claims to want to create a buffer zone within Ukraine by bombing this flourishing border town.
diplomatic efforts of the USA
The attack also uncomfortably focused on how little the tireless diplomatic efforts of the White house have brought so far. Trump said on Friday on social media that Russia had to "get going", but he did not give any deadlines or concrete consequences if this did not happen. However, secondary tariffs on buyers of Russia's oil were addressed.
Trump and the reality of the declarations of war
Trump had given similar comments in the past - Moscow warned about his attacks on civilian Ukrainians, while at the same time expressing a broader pain over the tragedies of war instead of being excited about the specific massacre of the Kremlin, such as the loss of nine children on a Playground in Kryvyi Rih a few days earlier.
In fact, he later used his usual speech bubbles. When he was addressed when asked whether the Ukraine needed more patriot rocket systems, Trump wrongly indicated that the Ukraine started war: "If you start a war, you have to know that you can win it right ...?difficult situation for Ukraine
The truth that Trump may be reluctant to use is that Russia's diplomacy has been predictable in a confusing vertebrae of the tactics. It creates the necessary light and noise, but has little consequence, apart from the fact that Moscow buys time and continues the war in its own conditions.
and Russian diplomats are now on a carousel that is apparently determined by Moscow Design, with several routes that have hardly any real progress. Trump's foreign mediator Steve Witkoff flies to Russia in an intermittent manner to probably hear direct demands of the Kremlin, whose official his visit to St. Petersburg on Friday as "productive" . High-ranking US and Russian diplomats meet in Saudi Arabia to discuss ideas for an armistice and a broader relaxation, while at a lower level, diplomatic conversations have started in the new location Turkey to clarify the technical details of the reopening of messages.
future challenges for Ukraine and Europe
The Americans and Ukrainians worked in Washington in a sustainable path to from a dense and business RASTE-ERDEN-MINERAL TRAY to come out of Delaware and, according to the last design, almost exclusively in the interest of the white house seems to be.
In a separate diplomatic US Ukraine channel on peace, also in Saudi Arabia, a far-reaching ceasefire has so far been proposed that Russia has not yet agreed. Instead, a limited 30-day Waffe arrest -- initiated chaotically and hardly noticed - limited until Friday. This first test of diplomacy, which apparently failed too early, still throws light on future efforts.
outlook for the diplomatic landscape
The aforementioned graphic or the incomplete Venn diagram has the only connecting thread of the Trump administration, which strives for progress from various dialogues, which ultimately should flow into a singular peace. Five different, current conversations, and without the largely silent role of Trump's special envoy for Ukraine and Russia, General Keith Kellogg, or the intermittent but comprehensive influence of the phone calls between Putin and Trump.
This confused and confusing interface, Moscow, is critics of critics, a typical Russian tactic to win time while they seem to be busy. The Trump administration was filled with 24-hour to 100-day periods regarding peace before it entered the concrete implementation. Now there is no longer a deadline - or an end to the spreading conversations - in sight.
Putin's strategy and European concerns
Why is Putin looking for time? Because he believes that Trump is considered easy to distract and is interested in a simple victory, not in a complex compromise. Putin also believes that this summer he can achieve a tangible victory on the front lines that will change the dynamics in the conversations.
His assault on Sumy is supposed to provide Russia space on the border and at the same time attract the Ukrainian troops. Russia makes slow but troubling progress in the south of Saporischschja, an area in which almost two years ago a counter -offensive should achieve the breakthroughs. A Ukrainian intelligence officer who was recently moved near the city of Charkiw described a front line that is calmer than expected, and expressed concern about what is imminent.
the reality on site
The concerns grow that Russia orders reinforcements and is waiting for the soil to dry out in May to escalate a spring offensive that have already partially described Ukrainian officials as started. Kyiv has on a ammunition Artillery pointed out in the coming weeks, and the recent commitments of his allies may not have averted this impending crisis. It will be a very difficult summer for Ukraine.
This is the real moment when things get in motion. Moscow has put everything on a war in which it cannot afford a victory. It sees no profit in making a deal over frozen front lines. The dynamic- with a white house that continues to throw economic and security-political norms over the heap, and Ukraine that is struggling to cover their personnel and resource requirements- shelters more in Moscow Favor.
preparation for uncertain future
The European allies are worrying to prepare for two unpleasant possible scenarios. The first option is the collapse of Ukraine and the need for the European NATO members to hold back Russians without American support. This is a remote option, but the subtext of the preparations on the entire continent. The second option is more feasible and public: the British and French have the preparations for a "Seautifier" to protect every ceasefire. The noise and the plans serve two purposes: they enable Kiev to agree to the conversations, in which knowledge that there are some security guarantees. And they sometimes put Moscow into an embarrassing situation by blocking a peace plan that is increasingly ready to be implemented.
But with every rotation of the diplomatic carousel, the conditions of the actual peace become more confusing. Putin seems to be less ready to even offer a partial break, since he ultimately believes that Trump is ineffective and is not punished appropriately if he rejects this détent.
The dilemmatic location of diplomacy
Trump said about the US talks with Russia and Ukraine at the weekend: "There is a point where you either have to deliver or be silent." His problem is that both he and the Kremlin like to continue talking. And nobody actually wants to act: Trump hesitates to impose strict sanctions and disrupt his relationship with Moscow, while the Kremlin apparently has no interest in ending the war.
Trump added: "We'll see what happens, but I think things are going well." Ukraine must hope that he does not simply think that the country's fate is permanently overshadowed by another crisis.
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