Trumpin sopimukset Putinin kanssa vaarantavat Euroopan ja Ukrainan turvallisuuden

Trumpin sopimukset Putinin kanssa vaarantavat Euroopan ja Ukrainan turvallisuuden

cnn-a dangerous crack line opens, while Donald Trump eilt To end Ukraine. The US President strives for his claim to the Nobel Peace Prize. But just peace could fail faster, since it raises existential questions for Ukraine and the security situation in Europe.

The tension has reinforced after the president has decided, civil servants from Kiev and European powers from the US-Russian conversations on Tuesday in Saudi-Arabia, to exclude. The fate of his endeavor to end the war will ultimately depend on whether its quick pace can take into account decisive details of peace that enable Ukraine to survive, to ensure the borders and security of Europe and at the same time not to reward Russia's illegal invasion.

Trumpin herkkä neuvottelupeli

Trump ei ole osoittanut vain vähän ilmeistä kiinnostusta näihin kolmeen tavoitteeseen, mikä selittää miksi hänen strategiansa on riski. All parties in this process have serious concerns and significant influence, which makes the end of the war far more difficult than its failed promises in the election campaign to create peace within 24 hours.

Trump etsii sopimusta - ehkä jonkin verran kauppaa. The war often seems to be a distraction from what Trump really wants: the opportunity to sit down at a table with putin, one of the global rulers. Nevertheless, there is the possibility that Trump's urgency and power and his access to the Russian president could change the dynamics of this world war-like war.

Ukrainan todellisuus

Trump only expresses a reality that many US and European civil servants have shared privately for months: Ukraine can no longer win the war and does not drive Russia away from the entire territory. Hänen alaistensa kiittää häntä loputtomasti maailman suurimpana kaupantekijänä, mutta hänen aikaisemmat ponnistelunsa näyttävät olevan naiivia.

He granted some of the main goals of Russia, often empathized with the goals of the invasion and has opposed America's European friends who have borne the costs of supporting Ukrainian war efforts. Nämä liittolaiset, joita puolustusministeri Pete Hegseth kuvaa, ovat huolissaan niistä, joiden on seurattava rauhaa yksin.

Trumpin ja Venäjän välinen monimutkainen suhde

In his most remarkable step, Trump tried to take half of the wealth of Ukraine on rare earths - a train that uses the desperate vulnerability of a attacked nation. Presidentti Wolodymyr Selenskyj hylkäsi "sopimuksen". Trump apparently shows no understanding of the historical dangers in Ukraine or in the Middle East, considering that he is planning to move the Palestinians from Gaza to build beach resorts there.

Trump's perspective of every geopolitical stove as a real estate transaction that is only waiting to be completed, indicates that he could support an agreement that Putin leaves all the stolen country just to end killing. And there is a high risk of playing Putin, who loosened up the atmosphere before the conversations in Saudi Arabia due to the release of several US prisoners, including Kalob Byers, who was arrested last week for drug trafficking.

nopean rauhan riski

Trump is convinced that Putin wants to end the war and says: "I think he wants to hire the fight. I see that. We have spoken long and intensely." Strategisesta näkökulmasta Putin voisi kuitenkin olla syitä jatkaa taistelua. Kauhista tappioista huolimatta hänen asevoimansa edistyvät vähitellen veren tuotetulla taistelukentällä.

Liittovaltion presidentti Putin on jo saavuttanut osan tavoitteistaan ​​ennen kuin hän saavuttaa Trumpin. The US President has undermined Putin's status as a pariad in the west by enthusiastic about the possibility of summit meetings in the United States and Russia. In addition, the Trump administration has given up important potential sources of pressure by excluding NATO membership for Ukraine and the use of American troops to maintain a possible peace.

Euroopan reaktiot ja haasteet

Until a few weeks ago, some European diplomats believed that the alarm mood about Trump's re -election was exaggerated, and the unpredictability of the new president could be mastered. Hegseth's hostility and Vice President JD Vance in Europe was a wecker . Just like Trump's destruction of western unity via Ukraine by sent his team for discussion about peace with Putin's team before consulting Europe.

Ukrainan sodan lopputulos on melkein yhtä tärkeä Euroopassa kuin Ukrainassa. A peace treaty that strengthens Russia would suspend the continent of a newly strengthened enemy, while the United States threatens to withdraw security guarantees for its allies for 80 years. Europe's strongly weakened armed forces After years of budget cuts, there are doubts as to whether they can maintain a significant peacekeeping team in Ukraine after peace.

Ison -Britannian pääministeri Keir Strander varoitti Pariisin neuvottelujen jälkeen, että Eurooppa on "ainutlaatuinen hetki sukupolvessa". In another sign that Europeans are trying to get their affairs under control, Ursula von der Leyen, the President of the European Commission, said on X that Ukraine deserves "peace through strength" - an echo from Trump's new catchphrase for his foreign policy "America First". Strander offered to send British troops to monitor a possible peace agreement in Ukraine, but under the important condition that there is US support; Koska tämä on ainoa tapa estää Venäjää yhdistymästä Ukrainaan.

His comment shows that the European leaders recognize that they could expose their troops to the risk without support and get involved in a war with Russia. Strander, who plans to meet Trump in Washington next week, is a bridge between the European powers and the US president, while trying to restore Britain's global influence that has taken off from the European Union since leaving.

The challenges are two: Trump does not seem to be interested in a relationship, and there are only a few signs that it is really important to him what Europeans think.