Drone attacks before Russia-Ukraine peace talks endanger Trump's credibility
Drone attacks before Russia-Ukraine peace talks endanger Trump's credibility
It was difficult to imagine that the direct conversations between Russia and Ukraine, which are to be renewed in Istanbul on Monday, could lead to a breakthrough. According to the alleged large-scale Ukrainian drone attacks However, it is even more insensitive to strategic supports in Russia, but that one of the two sides is ready to move their red lines.Kreml's hard conditions
already before the latest attacks that Russian strategic bombing aircraft targeted thousands of miles away from the Ukrainian border, the Kremlin had refused to clearly explain in the form of an agreed memorandum, which in return for the end of the so -called "general military operation". However, Russian officials have made their hard conditions clear, including sovereignty over all annexed areas, the demilitarization of Ukraine, immediate abolition of the sanctions and, which the Kremlin describes as "denazification", which also includes securing the rights of Russian -speaking people.
geopolitical tensions and negotiations
The concerns about further NATO east expansion, especially with regard to Ukraine, but also to other countries, are also a recurring concern of the Kremlin. In addition, the fate of hundreds of billions of dollars of frozen Russian assets abroad is a constant source of unrest. There are speculation about possible negotiation areas in the Russian and Western media, while the results of the talks in Istanbul are closely observed in order to identify signs of possible flexibility.
Ukrainian strength and negotiation positions
After the alleged spectacular success of Ukraine in the destruction of Russian strategic bombers, the country goes strengthened into the second round of direct negotiations. President Wolodymyr Selenskyj presented some of the positions of Ukraine on Sunday, including an unconditional ceasefire and the return of Ukrainian children who were brought to Russia. However, the Russian demands for a withdrawal of the Ukrainian armed forces from controversial areas that Russia claims but did not conquer are still intolerable, especially since Ukraine has shown that it can continue to strike deep behind the front lines.
Russian offensive and international reactions
Already before the latest Ukrainian drone attacks, Russia intensified the attacks on Ukraine, which indicates the early phases of a new summer offensive. In the night from Saturday to Sunday, Russia has carried out the biggest drone attack on Ukraine since the beginning of the war - with 472 drones. A Russian rocket attack on Sunday killed at least 12 people and injured more than 60 at a training location for the Ukrainian armed forces.
US politics and influence
Meanwhile, the increasingly frustrated US President Donald Trump, who had previously browned to be able to end the Ukraine conflict quickly, observes from the sidelines, while a cornerstone faltered his announced foreign policy. Neither his pressure on the Ukrainian president, whom he criticized in the Oval Office, nor his latest blame compared to the Kremlin seem to bring the two sides closer to a peace treaty. However, Trump still has powerful influence on influence, such as introducing strict new sanctions or adjustments to the US military aid, which could significantly increase the costs of further struggle. These measures may not be decisive, but send a signal from the USA.a possible withdrawal and the connection to the USA
What Trump is considering, however, is simply to withdraw from the whole matter. "This is bidens war," he insists on it, or the war of Putin and Selenskyj. But a withdrawal-and what that means in relation to US politics remains unclear-no longer seems to be an option. At least not without consequences. His endeavor to end the Ukraine conflict together with his personal interventions among the Ukrainian and Russian leaders means that Trump and the USA are now inseparable from the outcome of the conflict. That is why the events on the battlefield and at the negotiating table in Istanbul are observed so closely. Despite its regular attempts to distance themselves from the conflict, the Ukraine War has become a central point in Trump's political agenda, the effects of which are now hanging on a silk thread.
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