Trump's tariffs: a disturbing lesson for his second term

Trump's tariffs: a disturbing lesson for his second term

There is no plan.

America and the world have learned the scary lesson from a week of the unpredictable tariff war under Donald Trump, which could bring the second term of this president. The fate of the US economy, jobs and old-age provision of millions of people as well as global security could be disregarded at any time in the next four years due to the changeable moods and unchecked obsessions of the 47th president.

economic turbulence and uncertainties

This time it was a self -caused economic disaster. Next time it could be a national security crisis. On Wednesday, Trump partially distracted from his tariff attack - he paused the counter tariffs against dozens of nations and territories, as the serious economic consequences of his strategy assumed acute forms. But he usually made up for his impulsive step with another escalation - he increased the tariffs to Chinese imports to 125%. While an increase in the markets after days of the decline led to an upturn in the stock markets Nevertheless, plunge the United States into a recession.

confusion and contradictions in the White House

There are several ways to interpret the chaotic day on Wednesday when the White House conjured up a new reality in order to present Trump's embarrassing retreat as an act of great leadership. One could take the official version of the events for bare coin and believe that a variety of grateful foreign powers now offer attractive “deals” that benefit the USA - but at the expense of these countries. If this happens, Trump will have redesigned global trade like no other modern president and make major changes for voters.

or, as is often the case on Wall Street, one could believe that even Trump-who removed all limited influences from the white house of his second term-has a step back when the ground of the US economy threatened to break on Wednesday to avoid a disaster.

The truth in the bond market

The US state bonds are often considered the safest layout in the world because they are secured by the largest economy in the world, the invincible dollar and American creditworthiness. However, a sale of US state bonds in the past 48 hours triggered alarm calls on the effects of Trump's tariffs. In a figurative sense, investors sold the idea that the United States, for a long time a rock in the surf of the global economy, are now anything but safe. Its dwindling trust revealed how Trump's unpredictable style has transformed the United States from a bulwark of stability into one of the most destabilized influences.

The week of return to normality

Trump's reversal was all the more shocking when his top consultants-since his explanation of the "day of liberation" in relation to the trade wars-insisted that he would never soak back. In fact, on Monday after rumors, the stock exchange had increased over a 90-day customs break, and the White House described the report as "fake news". In a roller coaster week since the counter-tariffs announced, pensioners experienced the agony of seeing how their 401 (K) plans are disappearing. Some Americans were released while companies prepared for a possible recession. But as it turned out, all of this suffering shouldn't have been. Trump gave in after his game hadn't worked.

external uncertainty and internal contradictions

Farcical scenes took place in Washington. US trade officer Jamieson Greer spent a second day with it, to say before the Congress, while the White House insisted that this a trade "emergency position" that required unprecedented action. But during the hearing, he learned about the U -turn of his boss, which undermined his credibility in future trade talks.

Finance Minister Scott Bessent appeared after a meeting with Trump and insisted that the tariff increase . "It was the president's decision to wait until today," he said. "Nobody manages to get as much scope as President Trump." This crisis could indicate that Bessent-regarded by Wall Street as competent-prevailed towards Trump's larger fire fire junta. But shortly after Besent's statement, the President undermined his finance minister by clarifying that he would improvise again.

china and the consequences for the US economy

All eyes are based on China's reaction to the re -increase of tariffs to its imports to the USA - which makes the trade between the two largest economies in the world unsustainable and the markets could crash again. An apprenticeship that China could pull out of chaos on Wednesday is that Trump gave away when he faced the consequences of his policy. China has already signaled that it is ready to fight until the "end" in the trade war. President Xi Jinping is now facing major challenges, while his nationalist project aims to restore China's respect and influence.

While Trump's government celebrated a triumphal march on Monday, she has not yet completed any trade agreements. Countries may be ready to speak, but they could now suspect that Trump is bluffing when he punished them. Perhaps Trump will hold his word by demanding concessions to benefit the US companies. But Washington's demands could be too optimistic. The United States, for example, want countries such as Australia and those in the European Union to introduce hormone-treated US meat products-but guides who agree to this will do so at their own political risk.

political strategies and economic forecasts

and the negotiations undermine another alleged goal of Trump's trade "Revolution" - the idea that he can revive the industrial heavy industry of the early 20th century. This goal is commendable, but agreements that receive European and Asian production mean that there will be no return to the Golden Age of US factories. Nevertheless, maintaining the 10%tariff in one sense could become a political victory for the administration. This appears less stressful in view of Trump's withdrawal of higher counter -tariffs and foreign nations could accept it as a price for trade.

and always with Trump there is no guarantee that his decision is the last word - a reason why foreign trading partners and investors could start avoiding the unpredictable USA. After all, what really happened on Wednesday when the president explained a famous victory to avoid an impending catastrophe that he had caused.

"No other president would have done what I did," said Trump. He recognized that correctly.

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